Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 55.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 58.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Sutter
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Sutter
Nosek
Last 8: Sutter 1-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Sutter
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Sutter
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Sutter
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
54.9% (2,710)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
45.8% (48)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
47.2% (428)
-0.8%
On power play, Sutter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Sutter
Nosek
Home
50.6% (5,050)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Sutter
Nosek
P1
48.7%
52.2%
P2
50.3%
54.1%
P3
51.5%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |