Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.8% vs Bedard 47.7% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 67.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.5%
Neutral zone
Point 54.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Point
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Point
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (303)
44.9% (283)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.4% (72)
76.2% (21)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.5% (11)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Point is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Point shoots right. Bedard is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Point
Bedard
Home
44.8% (181)
52.4% (145)
Away
46.9% (196)
42.4% (170)
By Period
Point
Bedard
P1
46.2%
37.9%
P2
41.4%
48.6%
P3
51.2%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.9%
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |