Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Bedard 40.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 93.7%
Defensive zone
Point 74.1%
Neutral zone
Point 91.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Point
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
Bedard
Last 8: Point 6-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
5
2
Point
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
39.7% (1,413)
+8.6%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
51.5% (68)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
45.5% (22)
-7.0%
On even strength, Point has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,040).
Point shoots right. Bedard is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Home / Away
Point
Bedard
Home
49.0% (3,671)
42.9% (707)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
38.1% (796)
By Period
Point
Bedard
P1
46.9%
38.3%
P2
51.2%
39.8%
P3
48.1%
43.1%
OT
52.5%
38.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |