Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Bedard 41.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 90.2%
Defensive zone
Point 68.8%
Neutral zone
Point 88.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Point
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
Bedard
Last 8: Point 6-2 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
5
2
Point
Bedard
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
40.2% (1,635)
+8.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
51.8% (83)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
50.0% (24)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Point
Bedard
Home
49.0% (3,754)
43.3% (785)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
38.9% (957)
By Period
Point
Bedard
P1
46.8%
38.9%
P2
51.3%
41.2%
P3
48.0%
42.5%
OT
52.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |