Brayden Point vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Point leads 33-21 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 53.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.5%
Neutral zone
Point 53.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Point
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
21
(54 meetings)
33
21
Point
McDavid
Last 10: Point 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
9
8
Point
McDavid
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
4
Point
McDavid
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
18
9
Point
McDavid
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
47.7% (8,394)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
52.1% (374)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
43.8% (281)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
Home / Away
Point
McDavid
Home
49.0% (3,754)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Point
McDavid
P1
46.8%
46.5%
P2
51.3%
48.7%
P3
48.0%
48.3%
OT
52.0%
42.2%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |