Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Evans 55.0% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 94.5%
Defensive zone
Point 56.2%
Neutral zone
Point 76.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Point
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
55.6% (522)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
72.7% (11)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
55.2% (210)
-35.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Point shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
46.6% (264)
54.7% (402)
Away
46.4% (302)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
46.3%
57.9%
P2
45.5%
55.2%
P3
48.6%
53.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |