Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.8% vs Evans 53.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 93.2%
Defensive zone
Point 51.1%
Neutral zone
Point 70.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Point
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Point
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (303)
53.6% (349)
-8.7%
Power Play
51.4% (72)
70.0% (10)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
55.9% (161)
-55.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Point shoots right. Evans is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
44.8% (181)
54.1% (290)
Away
46.9% (196)
55.2% (230)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
46.2%
60.1%
P2
41.4%
53.5%
P3
51.2%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
45.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |