Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Evans 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 91.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 73.7%
Neutral zone
Point 65.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Point
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Point
Evans
Last 10: Point 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
7
2
Point
Evans
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
9
Point
Evans
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
7
Point
Evans
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
53.7% (3,740)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
60.6% (71)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
47.1% (1,228)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,074).
Point shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Home / Away
Point
Evans
Home
49.0% (3,754)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Point
Evans
P1
46.8%
54.0%
P2
51.3%
50.9%
P3
48.0%
52.0%
OT
52.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |