Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Eller 55.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 71.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 85.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Point
Eller
Last 8: Point 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Point
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
56.0% (459)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
77.8% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
51.9% (54)
-31.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
46.6% (264)
52.6% (215)
Away
46.4% (302)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
46.3%
54.1%
P2
45.5%
57.6%
P3
48.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |