Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 34-29 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 82.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.3%
Neutral zone
Point 56.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
34
(63 meetings)
29
34
Point
Eller
Last 10: Point 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
18
7
Point
Eller
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
19
Point
Eller
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
9
8
Point
Eller
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
51.1% (10,321)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
52.8% (621)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.6% (1,759)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
49.0% (3,754)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
46.8%
51.2%
P2
51.3%
50.1%
P3
48.0%
50.2%
OT
52.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |