Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Cates 45.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 52.3%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Point
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Point
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Point
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Point
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
45.5% (756)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
42.1% (114)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.7% (47)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Point
Cates
Home
46.6% (264)
46.2% (468)
Away
46.4% (302)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Point
Cates
P1
46.3%
46.0%
P2
45.5%
47.5%
P3
48.6%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Noah Cates |