Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Monahan 52.5% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 83.5%
Defensive zone
Point 69.5%
Neutral zone
Point 72.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Point
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Point
Monahan
Last 10: Point 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Point
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Point
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Point
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
53.0% (874)
-7.1%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
54.7% (161)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.5% (101)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Point
Monahan
Home
46.6% (264)
53.8% (558)
Away
46.4% (302)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Point
Monahan
P1
46.3%
49.5%
P2
45.5%
54.8%
P3
48.6%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |