Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 39-32 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 58.9%
Defensive zone
Point 55.6%
Neutral zone
Point 57.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Point
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
39
(71 meetings)
32
39
Point
Monahan
Last 10: Point 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
14
Point
Monahan
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
8
11
Point
Monahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
17
14
Point
Monahan
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,201)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.9% (1,046)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
45.9% (772)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,420).
Point shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Point
Monahan
Home
49.0% (3,754)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Point
Monahan
P1
46.8%
51.0%
P2
51.3%
51.7%
P3
48.0%
51.0%
OT
52.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |