Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.0% vs Novak 42.5% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 55.1%
Neutral zone
Point 52.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Point
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (453)
40.4% (408)
+5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (108)
45.5% (33)
+4.5%
On even strength, Point has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Point is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Point shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Point
Novak
Home
46.6% (264)
42.0% (212)
Away
46.4% (302)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Point
Novak
P1
46.3%
41.9%
P2
45.5%
39.3%
P3
48.6%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
48.0%▬
48.0%
46.5%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%