Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Frost 49.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 71.1%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Schenn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Schenn
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Schenn
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Schenn
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Schenn
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
48.6% (704)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
55.7% (115)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
25.0% (4)
+22.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Schenn
Frost
Home
55.6% (453)
49.9% (399)
Away
43.3% (467)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Schenn
Frost
P1
48.4%
51.2%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
50.8%
42.7%
OT
22.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |