Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 51.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Schenn
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
49.7% (1,038)
+1.8%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
63.7% (157)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
34.4% (32)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
53.9% (412)
53.1% (618)
Away
53.3% (375)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
49.6%
49.3%
P2
52.0%
53.0%
P3
58.1%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |