Brayden Schenn vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 56-41 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 66.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 59.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 65.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Schenn
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
41
(97 meetings)
56
41
Schenn
MacKinnon
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
21
16
Schenn
MacKinnon
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
16
10
Schenn
MacKinnon
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
19
15
Schenn
MacKinnon
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
46.1% (11,264)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
53.2% (1,421)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
42.8% (502)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,570).
Schenn shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Schenn
MacKinnon
Home
49.7% (5,075)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Schenn
MacKinnon
P1
48.8%
47.4%
P2
48.6%
46.6%
P3
48.3%
46.1%
OT
50.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |