Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Johnson 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 64.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Schenn
Johnson
Last 6: Schenn 3-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
0
Schenn
Johnson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Schenn
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
51.0% (196)
-2.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
50.0% (2)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
42.9% (14)
-2.9%
On power play, Schenn has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
49.0% (286)
48.8% (125)
Away
49.1% (293)
52.9% (87)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
47.7%
54.2%
P2
48.7%
44.2%
P3
51.4%
54.8%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
49.1%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |