Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Johnson 52.1% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 77.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Schenn
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
2
Schenn
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
55.4% (186)
-9.8%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
100.0% (3)
-47.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
37.8% (37)
+8.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +47.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Johnson is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Schenn
Johnson
Home
46.8% (494)
51.6% (95)
Away
46.3% (520)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Schenn
Johnson
P1
50.3%
46.7%
P2
47.0%
50.5%
P3
42.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
46.5%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |