Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Carrick 54.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 79.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Schenn
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
55.5% (470)
-4.0%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
66.7% (3)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
50.0% (58)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
53.9% (412)
58.6% (261)
Away
53.3% (375)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
49.6%
55.9%
P2
52.0%
53.5%
P3
58.1%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |