Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 86.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 59.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 67.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Schenn
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Schenn
Carrick
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
6
Schenn
Carrick
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Schenn
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
3
Schenn
Carrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
52.2% (2,544)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
61.3% (75)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
50.8% (435)
-2.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,570).
Schenn shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Schenn
Carrick
Home
49.7% (5,075)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Schenn
Carrick
P1
48.8%
51.8%
P2
48.6%
52.3%
P3
48.3%
52.6%
OT
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |