Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.6% vs 52.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Schenn
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (656)
53.0% (874)
-1.5%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
54.7% (161)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (24)
47.5% (101)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
53.9% (412)
53.8% (558)
Away
53.3% (375)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
49.6%
49.5%
P2
52.0%
54.8%
P3
58.1%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |