Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 35-34 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 50.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.2%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Schenn
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
35
(69 meetings)
34
35
Schenn
Monahan
Last 10: Schenn 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
8
Schenn
Monahan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
14
12
Schenn
Monahan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
15
Schenn
Monahan
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,842)
51.1% (11,407)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
53.6% (2,582)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (398)
45.9% (772)
+2.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,707).
Schenn shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Schenn
Monahan
Home
49.7% (5,075)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Schenn
Monahan
P1
48.8%
51.0%
P2
48.6%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
51.0%
OT
50.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |