Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.1%). Gaunce wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Frost 56.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.7%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 84.9%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 55.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Gaunce
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Gaunce
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Gaunce
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
56.0% (755)
+2.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
60.1% (173)
-60.1%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
88.9% (9)
-36.9%
On power play, Frost has a +60.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Gaunce shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Frost
Home
54.8% (93)
57.3% (497)
Away
59.1% (88)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Gaunce
Frost
P1
62.3%
60.2%
P2
48.1%
56.0%
P3
59.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |