Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.9% vs Frost 50.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Gaunce leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 79.1%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 80.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 52.0%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Gaunce
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Gaunce
Frost
Last 10: Gaunce 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
2
Gaunce
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
4
2
Gaunce
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Gaunce
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (894)
49.7% (3,652)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
55.4% (632)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (92)
55.0% (40)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaunce is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Gaunce shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Frost
Home
49.9% (525)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
54.5% (470)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Gaunce
Frost
P1
53.6%
51.2%
P2
47.4%
51.3%
P3
55.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |