Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.5%). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Coyle 50.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 69.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 65.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Howden
Coyle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
52.3% (853)
-2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.4% (63)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
44.5% (191)
+2.6%
On power play, Howden has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
46.5% (217)
49.0% (567)
Away
52.7% (237)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
51.4%
49.5%
P2
51.6%
49.4%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
OT
26.7%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |