Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.8%). Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Coyle 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 50.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Howden
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Howden
Coyle
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Howden
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Coyle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Howden
Coyle
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
49.4% (7,898)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.0% (794)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
43.5% (1,100)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Home / Away
Howden
Coyle
Home
48.2% (1,630)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Howden
Coyle
P1
49.5%
49.5%
P2
47.9%
48.3%
P3
49.8%
48.8%
OT
35.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |