Brett Howden vs Connor McDavid

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brett Howden holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Howden 48.9% vs McDavid 47.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 67.2%
Defensive zone Howden 56.2%
Neutral zone Howden 51.2%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Howden McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 7 (14 meetings)
7
7
Howden McDavid
Last 10: Howden 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Howden McDavid
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden McDavid
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden McDavid
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Howden
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
47.7% (8,394)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.1% (374)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
43.8% (281)
-0.7%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Howden
McDavid
Home
48.2% (1,630)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Howden
McDavid
P1
49.5%
46.5%
P2
47.9%
48.7%
P3
49.8%
48.3%
OT
35.5%
42.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%
45.0%
48.9%
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2026 OT 03:07 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 21, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 21, 2025 2 12:59 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 21, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Dec 21, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Brett Howden
Nov 28, 2023 3 00:32 Defensive Brett Howden
Nov 28, 2023 1 17:58 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 19, 2022 2 04:33 Offensive Connor McDavid
Feb 8, 2022 2 06:22 Defensive Connor McDavid
Nov 27, 2021 3 02:44 Defensive Brett Howden
Nov 27, 2021 2 15:29 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 22, 2021 3 07:23 Defensive Brett Howden
Oct 22, 2021 1 05:13 Defensive Brett Howden
Mar 11, 2019 1 07:21 Offensive Connor McDavid