Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Cozens 53.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 61.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
53.2% (634)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
57.7% (97)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
33.3% (6)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
46.5% (217)
54.8% (383)
Away
52.7% (237)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
51.4%
56.0%
P2
51.6%
51.2%
P3
48.5%
53.9%
OT
26.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |