Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.5%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Cozens 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 52.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 57.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Howden
Cozens
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
6
Howden
Cozens
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
4
Howden
Cozens
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
3
Howden
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
49.0% (4,103)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.3% (717)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
41.0% (439)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
48.2% (1,630)
48.3% (2,685)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.7% (2,574)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
49.5%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
47.8%
P3
49.8%
48.9%
OT
35.5%
34.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |