Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Tavares 56.8% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.0%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Howden
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
57.7% (975)
-7.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
56.0% (250)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
52.2% (23)
-5.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
46.5% (217)
57.4% (636)
Away
52.7% (237)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
51.4%
57.5%
P2
51.6%
56.9%
P3
48.5%
57.5%
OT
26.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%