Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 79.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 92.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 79.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Howden
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Howden
Tavares
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
8
Howden
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
3
Howden
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Howden
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
54.0% (16,169)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.4% (4,298)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
50.5% (624)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Howden
Tavares
Home
48.2% (1,630)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Howden
Tavares
P1
49.5%
55.0%
P2
47.9%
54.1%
P3
49.8%
54.0%
OT
35.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |