Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 54.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Howden
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Zibanejad
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
53.3% (807)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.6% (42)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
46.3% (147)
+0.8%
On power play, Howden has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Howden
Zibanejad
Home
46.5% (217)
49.8% (466)
Away
52.7% (237)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Howden
Zibanejad
P1
51.4%
52.9%
P2
51.6%
51.2%
P3
48.5%
51.7%
OT
26.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |