Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 70.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 62.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 67.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Howden
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Howden
Zibanejad
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
50.9% (11,756)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
52.2% (1,852)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
41.6% (1,796)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Howden
Zibanejad
Home
48.2% (1,630)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Howden
Zibanejad
P1
49.5%
50.4%
P2
47.9%
49.7%
P3
49.8%
49.9%
OT
35.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | OT | 04:43 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |