Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 84.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 64.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Howden
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Howden
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
55.4% (771)
-6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
45.5% (165)
-8.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Howden
Dowd
Home
52.6% (173)
58.2% (462)
Away
41.5% (118)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Howden
Dowd
P1
51.6%
55.6%
P2
37.1%
50.5%
P3
55.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |