Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Dowd 49.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 82.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Howden
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Howden
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
52.2% (835)
+1.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
60.0% (10)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
44.0% (350)
+4.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Howden
Dowd
Home
48.8% (258)
51.5% (619)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Howden
Dowd
P1
54.0%
51.7%
P2
53.2%
51.6%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
52.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |