Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 59.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Howden
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
45.9% (697)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.9% (117)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
48.0% (25)
-0.9%
On power play, Howden has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
46.5% (217)
44.9% (434)
Away
52.7% (237)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
51.4%
41.5%
P2
51.6%
46.7%
P3
48.5%
51.1%
OT
26.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |