Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 70.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Howden
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Schmaltz
Last 9: Howden 4-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Howden
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
41.3% (3,431)
+8.2%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
47.3% (655)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
47.4% (135)
-4.3%
On even strength, Howden has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
48.2% (1,630)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
49.5%
41.3%
P2
47.9%
42.8%
P3
49.8%
43.1%
OT
35.5%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |