Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs McLeod 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 53.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 67.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 52.9%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Howden
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
49.0% (827)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
44.0% (91)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
43.0% (272)
+4.1%
On power play, Howden has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
46.5% (217)
48.5% (619)
Away
52.7% (237)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
51.4%
52.7%
P2
51.6%
43.9%
P3
48.5%
45.8%
OT
26.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |