Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 51.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 50.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.4%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Howden
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Howden
McLeod
Last 10: Howden 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Howden
McLeod
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
5
Howden
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
8
5
Howden
McLeod
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
50.4% (3,376)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.7% (296)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
44.1% (644)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Howden
McLeod
Home
48.2% (1,630)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Howden
McLeod
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
47.9%
48.0%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
OT
35.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Brett Howden |