Brett Howden vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 52.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 68.2%
Neutral zone
Howden 60.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
46.0% (250)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
70.6% (17)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
31.8% (22)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Howden shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.5% (217)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.7% (237)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
48.5%
P2
51.6%
45.9%
P3
48.5%
46.5%
OT
26.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |