Brett Howden vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 53.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 73.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 68.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
44.8% (8,775)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.6% (844)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
37.8% (880)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Howden shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.2% (1,630)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.5%
45.1%
P2
47.9%
43.9%
P3
49.8%
45.2%
OT
35.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |