Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 55.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 65.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Howden
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
55.5% (470)
-5.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
66.7% (3)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
50.0% (58)
-2.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
46.5% (217)
58.6% (261)
Away
52.7% (237)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
51.4%
55.9%
P2
51.6%
53.5%
P3
48.5%
55.6%
OT
26.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |