Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 55.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 63.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Howden
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Howden
Carrick
Last 10: Howden 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
Carrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
4
3
Howden
Carrick
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
52.2% (2,544)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
61.3% (75)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
50.8% (435)
-7.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Howden
Carrick
Home
48.2% (1,630)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Howden
Carrick
P1
49.5%
51.8%
P2
47.9%
52.3%
P3
49.8%
52.6%
OT
35.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:54 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Brett Howden |