Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 77.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 62.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Howden
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
57.1% (368)
-7.3%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
55.2% (96)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
50.0% (10)
-2.9%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (217)
53.9% (230)
Away
52.7% (237)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
51.4%
56.7%
P2
51.6%
54.1%
P3
48.5%
59.2%
OT
26.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |