Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 65.2%
Defensive zone
Howden 82.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 72.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Howden
Stamkos
Last 10: Howden 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Howden
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Howden
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
5
3
Howden
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
50.5% (9,825)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.2% (1,729)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
49.6% (827)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
48.2% (1,630)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
49.5%
49.2%
P2
47.9%
52.7%
P3
49.8%
50.9%
OT
35.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |