Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.8% vs Thompson 45.2% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Howden
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (402)
44.6% (661)
+5.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
48.4% (95)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (34)
33.3% (33)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
46.5% (217)
45.7% (411)
Away
52.7% (237)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
51.4%
47.7%
P2
51.6%
45.7%
P3
48.5%
40.5%
OT
26.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%