Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.9% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 50.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Howden
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Howden
Thompson
Last 9: Howden 4-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Howden
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Howden
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (2,926)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
46.9% (373)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (320)
33.6% (265)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Howden is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,187).
Howden shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Howden
Thompson
Home
48.2% (1,630)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
49.6% (1,727)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Howden
Thompson
P1
49.5%
44.4%
P2
47.9%
43.7%
P3
49.8%
40.0%
OT
35.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |