Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 46.2% vs Tavares 56.8% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Boeser
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (111)
57.7% (975)
-17.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
56.0% (250)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
52.2% (23)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boeser is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Boeser shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Boeser
Tavares
Home
41.3% (63)
57.4% (636)
Away
45.2% (62)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Boeser
Tavares
P1
40.0%
57.5%
P2
51.1%
56.9%
P3
34.4%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
40.5%
43.2%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |