Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 47.2% vs Tavares 57.8% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 75.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 83.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Boeser
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (99)
59.0% (691)
-16.6%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
57.2% (173)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
63.6% (11)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boeser is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Boeser shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Boeser
Tavares
Home
42.9% (56)
58.0% (500)
Away
46.4% (56)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Boeser
Tavares
P1
42.5%
59.5%
P2
52.4%
58.5%
P3
34.5%
58.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
44.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |