Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.9% vs Nelson 50.8% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 73.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 91.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 82.5%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Raty
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raty
Nelson
Last 6: Raty 5-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (517)
50.9% (928)
+9.6%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
59.8% (179)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (101)
43.4% (205)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Raty is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Raty shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Raty
Nelson
Home
60.2% (354)
52.9% (654)
Away
62.9% (286)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Raty
Nelson
P1
56.9%
48.4%
P2
67.1%
54.3%
P3
59.5%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
61.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
62.0%▼
64.5%
61.4%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |