Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 49.8% vs Nelson 47.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Copp leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Copp 51.2%
Defensive zone
Copp 90.2%
Neutral zone
Copp 61.4%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Copp
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Copp
Nelson
Last 10: Copp 10-0 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
4
2
Copp
Nelson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
8
0
Copp
Nelson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (947)
46.9% (915)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.6% (119)
57.4% (94)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (233)
25.0% (28)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Copp is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Copp shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Copp
Nelson
Home
51.3% (667)
48.9% (521)
Away
48.3% (632)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Copp
Nelson
P1
50.2%
45.9%
P2
51.8%
48.0%
P3
48.0%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Nelson
54.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:35 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |