Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +29.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Jarnkrok shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Jarnkrok 47.7% (+29.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Nelson
Jarnkrok
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
25.0% (8)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Jarnkrok is 12.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jarnkrok
Home
52.5% (590)
20.0% (5)
Away
51.7% (619)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Nelson
Jarnkrok
P1
50.5%
0.0%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
52.1%
Jarnkrok
48.0%▬
48.0%
22.2%